Stats

In Category:

The Perfect NLHE Strategy

StatsWhat's the best strategy for $0.10 / $0.25 NL Full Ring? We analyzed 3,565 players that played over 50,000 hands in 2010 to find out.

It's probably not gonna come as a shock to you that you should be tight and aggressive. But just how tight should you be on the button? How often should you raise in early position? We'll answer these questions (and more) in this post.
 

First, let's compare the general stats of losers, winners and breakeven players:

 
Loose Losers
Tighter Losers
Breakeven Players
Winners
BB/100
-5.86
-1.84
0.10
2.34
Number of Players in Group
10
14
63
20
VP$IP
41%
19%
9%
13%
PFR %
9%
2%
9%
11%
AFQ %
44%
37%
13%
48%

Not surprisingly, the winners are tight and aggressive. But what IS suprising is that the biggest losers aren't the typical loose-passive fish. They're definitely loose, but they're aggressive too! Also, the really tight passive players (AKA nits) manage to breakeven and can scrape out a decent profit when you factor in rakeback / rewards.
Bottomline: You want to be tight and aggressive, but being tight is more important ...

Continue Reading

Should You Split Up VP$IP by Position?

StatsVP$IP (the percentage of time a player voluntarily put money in the pot), is one of the most important stats you can have on an opponent. Over a few hundred hands, you'll have a good sense if a player is loose or tight. But are you missing out on crucial information by not breaking VP$IP down by position (UTG, Hijack, CO, Button, SB, BB)? We ran some statistical correlations to find out.

6-Max/Full Ring


We recommend you use just 1 overall VP$IP statistic for 6-max and full ring. Breaking down VP$IP by position just sucks up valuable HUD real estate and doesn’t give you a whole lot of additional useful info. You can reliably predict an opponent’s VP$IP from all positions if you just look at the overall VP$IP stat.

Example


UTG: $100
Hijack: $100
CO: $100
Hero (BTN): $100
SB: $100
BB: $100

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN/SB with J♣ 5♦
3 folds, Hero ?

What would you do if the blinds were tight -- the SB has a VP$IP of 18% and the BB has a VP$IP of 15%? You know ...

Continue Reading

How to Improve Your Game with Flop, Turn & River Fold % Stats

StatsYou probably don't use WTSD (Went to Showdown %). I don't blame you. WTSD% sucks!

It sucks because it’s really hard to interpret. If your opponent has a low WTSD, is he aggressive and making everyone fold before they get to showdown? Is he really conservative and only calls when he has the nuts? Does he call the flop 30% of the time, and then NEVER folds on the turn or river? You just don’t know!

You need to look at a ton of other stats (VPIP, aggression, stack size, pot size, etc.) to make WTSD meaningful. In the heat of a poker match, that’s just not very practical. All the stats in your HUD need to balance usefulness and ease-of-use. WTSD% does neither.

The Solution


Instead of WTSD%, you should break down how often your opponent is folding on the flop, on the turn and on the river. Street-by-street fold stats are easy to interpret and can easily help you make crucial decisions.

An Example


Hero (BTN/SB): $100
BB: $100

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN/SB with 9♣ 8♣
Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2

Flop: ($6) T♠ 5♥ 2♦ (2 ...

Continue Reading
Top